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This season’s Texas new home market is moving with some interesting shifts. Mid-Q3 data shows 5,700 new home sales across the state—a slight drop of about 7% from last month and 3% from a year ago. Even so, homes are selling a bit quicker for the fourth consecutive month, with average Days on Market now at 109, down from 112 earlier in Q3. That’s still a touch longer than last year, but it’s a positive trend for motivated sellers and buyers who want to move forward without long waits.

The average new home price in Texas held steady around $424,000 for Mid-Q3, and the sales-to-list price ratio climbed to 98%. For anyone keeping an eye on wealth-building opportunities, this signals continued pricing stability—even as demand typically softens this time of year. Inventory is up slightly, with 37,000 active new home listings, which means buyers have a wider selection to consider statewide. As always, balancing the right timing and strategy makes a difference in navigating these shifts—something my own family’s experience in Texas real estate has taught me time and again.

Indigenous Peoples’ Day celebrates, recognizes, and honors the beautiful traditions and cultures of the Indigenous People
We take a stand for and support the indigenous people on this day.
We should also offer our support to those who invest and uplift the indigenous communities.

We're seeing a notable shift in Austin's new-home construction landscape, with a 25% decline in permitting over the past year—the sharpest drop among major US markets. For many of my clients—first-time buyers, investors, and those relocating—this means the pace of new builds is slowing, especially in neighborhoods where builders had previously expanded at record speed. As someone who monitors both the numbers and the stories behind the market, I see how a larger inventory and rising construction costs are making it tougher for builders to justify new projects. Affordability has become more challenging for buyers and builders alike, with 30-year mortgage rates still hovering around 7% and borrowing costs influencing every side of the transaction.

As construction slows, experts warn that if demand rebounds, Austin could face a tighter housing market in the future. These shifts highlight how financial conditions, inventory, and builder strategies all intertwine—factors I watch closely to help clients make confident, informed decisions. Whether you’re considering your first purchase, exploring investment opportunities, or planning your next move, staying ahead of these trends can make all the difference in achieving your real estate goals.

This fall, Houston homebuyers found themselves with a distinct advantage: for every active buyer, there were more than two sellers. That shift has placed more negotiating power in buyers' hands, making it one of the more favorable moments for those seeking to purchase in our city—even as affordability remains a challenge due to higher borrowing costs. Lenders recently posted increased 30-year fixed rates, meaning the cost of financing is still very much in play. What’s striking is how much rates can differ from lender to lender, making your choice of lender nearly as important as the timing of your offer. As someone who’s helped clients navigate Texas real estate since 2006, and with my own background in investing and lending, I’ve seen that successful buyers balance negotiation strategy with careful attention to financing options. This season’s unique mix of buyer leverage and rising mortgage rates explains the recent slight dip in activity, but it also underscores the value of a thoughtful approach—especially for those ready to take the next step in Houston’s ever-evolving market.

Texas continues to lead the nation in housing growth, with the number of housing units rising by about 11% from 2020 to 2025—from approximately 11.6 million to 12.8 million. That’s an addition of roughly 1.26 million homes in just five years, the highest numeric increase of any state. Our state’s growth rate ran nearly double the national average, underscoring Texas’s reputation for large-scale development and opportunity. In fact, Texas ranked third nationally for percentage growth, a testament to both the sheer scale and the pace of expansion happening right here.

For anyone considering a move, investment, or next step in Texas real estate, these numbers highlight the importance of working with someone who understands the nuances of our fast-growing communities. My own experience—rooted in a family real estate investment background and years spent guiding clients through every change—reminds me how crucial it is to look beyond the numbers. As Texas grows, so do the questions about infrastructure, affordability, and the services needed to support new neighborhoods. If you’re thinking about how this wave of development could impact your goals, I’m always here to help you navigate the market with both insight and care.